The end of GOP candidate polling & Ron Paul’s delegate coup

As a regular visitor to Real Clear Politics, I noticed the lack of new polls about the remaining GOP candidates. The media is complying with Mitt Romney’s assertion that he has the nomination in the bag. As a result, Mitt Romney’s supporters have let Ron Paul’s determined supporters take a majority of the delegates, where it really counts. As of this writing, Paul is one state away from automatically being entered on the ballot at the GOP convention in Tampa. This strategy is paying off and chances of a Ron Paul win at the GOP convention are growing in spite of, or perhaps partially because, of the media blackout regarding anything to do with Ron Paul. With the masses looking towards the general election with the democratic Mitt Romney, Barack Obama, Paul’s supporters are in the midst of a sleeper victory as the fireworks fly in Tampa.

Ron Paul on the rise, Romney and the establishment running scared

Well, it’s been only a few days since Rick Santorum dropped out of the GOP presidential nomination race, leaving Mitt Romney, Ron Paul, and Newt Gingrich as the remaining candidates. The immediate call by the main stream media, was that “It’s now Romney vs Obama”. While the right and the left would both like to declare the GOP contest over, it is far from that.

With Santorum dropping out to care for his daughter, the main stream media, and even Newt Gingrich, essentially called the contest for Romney. They are purposely ignoring the rising numbers of Ron Paul who, despite an almost total media blackout, continues to draw record standing room only crowds to places even as liberal as UC Berkley. With votes upcoming in Texas and California, this has the potential to flip the GOP contest upside down. While Romney has money, money has only served to slow his descent as voters continue to scrutinize his record and his comments to the press. Gingrich has no campaign to speak of, and is staying in the race for his own ego, if nothing else. Ron Paul on the other hand, has a steady message, fervent supporters, and steadily increasing poll numbers. His numbers are growing at an increasing rate, as more people begin to look past the “he’s crazy”, “his policies make no sense”, etc headlines that the media attempt to paint him with. One of the most important phrases I heard mentioned, by YouTube user “TokenLibertariangirl”, as the phrase that got her started, was “Google Ron Paul”. Indeed, what the main stream media won’t do, people are doing themselves. I’m looking forward to the next few weeks with even more excitement as the power of the people overwhelms the establishment’s attempts to keep the will of the people silent.

Newt Gingrich sinks as Ron Paul Rises

The latest polls provided on the Real Clear Politics show Newt Gingrich’s rating falling below Ron Paul’s, who’s rating is rising at a slow, but steady pace. With his campaign broke and the insanity of sending him against Obama setting in for would be supporters, Gingrich is now being pressured to quit the race by supporters of Rick Santorum.

This bodes well for Ron Paul as well, as reducing the number of contenders to three makes it harder to ignore him, although the media has been doing their best to do so. It also helps Ron Paul due to the spotlight being focused more and more on Santorum, who seems to believe that his narrow message of “Gays, Muslims, and Pornography are destroying America” will fly with the GOP as a whole, let alone the general population that will vote in the general election. While Mitt Romney is seen as the best alternative by the “anyone but Obama” crowd, Santorum is seen as the only alternative by the “anyone but Romney” crowd. Giving Santorum an even more intense spotlight will allow him to shoot himself in the foot with the same reckless abandon as Mitt Romney seems to stick his in his mouth every time he deviates from his campaign’s script.

Romney and Santorum have a real chance to split the remaining primaries between them, resulting in a brokered convention. It is highly unlikely that Santorum will be willing to give Romney his delegates in exchange for a Vice Presidential slot or some other cherry position, resulting in true chaos. After the initial vote the delegates are no longer bound, and this is Ron Paul’s chance, with his passionate supporters, to bring true change to the GOP.

The next few weeks are going to be pivotal, and as delusional as Newt Gingrich is, financial reality will likely force him to abandon his campaign. Social media doesn’t really do much if there’s no passion behind it, and despite the best efforts of the main stream media, Newt has none. Newt has anger and belligerence, but while that might make for entertaining interviews with the blood thirsty press, it doesn’t win campaigns.